Pavle Marinkov vs Christian LangmoVancouver Qualifying Semi-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#527ATP
20 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#464ATP
1267ELO
1254Hard ELO
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
Marinkov P.
4-6 5-7
Langmo C.
Marinkov P.
450
Langmo C.
672

Christian Langmo advanced to the Vancouver semifinals with a 6-4, 7-5 win over Pavle Marinkov. Langmo hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, converting 50% of his break points and winning 83% of his first-serve points. Marinkov had 3 aces and 5 double faults, converting 25% of his break points and winning 76% of his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19M25 Swan Hill 1R32grassChristian Langmo6-7(4) 7-5 7-6(6)
2025-02-28M25 Launceston 1QFhardChristian Langmo6-4 7-6(2)
2024-11-23M25 Caloundra 1R16hardChristian Langmo6-4 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
69%
Aces / match·Even
6.1
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Marinkov P.40%
Langmo C.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Langmo C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
H2H
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
2.02 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Langmo C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw