Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar KovacevicLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#35ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#96ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$637kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLL
Norrie C.
6-4 6-1
Kovacevic A.
Norrie C.
662
Kovacevic A.
410

Cameron Norrie defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Round of 32 at the Los Cabos tournament, winning 6-4, 6-1 on hard courts. Norrie served 2 aces and committed 4 double faults, while Kovacevic had 5 aces and 7 double faults. Norrie converted 45% of break points and broke Kovacevic's serve 5 times, compared to Kovacevic's 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardAleksandar Kovacevic7-6 4-6 6-4
2023-07-31Los CabosR16hardAleksandar Kovacevic5-7 7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
30%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
10.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
29
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Dominant
84
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
54
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
34

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Norrie C.68%
Kovacevic A.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Norrie C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+178 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1611
7.4Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1636
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
82

Norrie C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Kovacevic A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
17°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 93%

Draw