Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira SilvaLiberec Round of 32

Liberec · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#234ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
LASVIT COURT · 1st on
#231ATP
1468ELO
1404Clay ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLW
Kasnikowski M.
1-6 6-3 3-6
Ferreira Silva F.
Kasnikowski M.
1631
Ferreira Silva F.
6362

Frederico Ferreira Silva defeated Maks Kasnikowski in the Round of 32 of the Liberec clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 in favor of Ferreira Silva. He converted 43% of his break points and made 3 service breaks to Kasnikowski's 1, while both players hit 3 aces.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
14
34
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
80
Break points won·Slight edge
16
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
56
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Kasnikowski M.77%
Ferreira Silva F.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kasnikowski M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+13 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1404
4.1Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1468
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.82 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Kasnikowski M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ferreira Silva F.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw