

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Daria Kasatkina in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, winning 6-4, 6-1 on hard courts. Kalinskaya hit 2 aces and 5 double faults, while Kasatkina hit 1 ace and 8 double faults. Kalinskaya converted 86% of her break points and won 6 service breaks to Kasatkina's 2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-08 | Adelaide | R16 | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 5-7 6-4 7-5 |
| 2022-10-17 | Guadalajara 2 | R16 | hard | Anna Kalinskaya | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
| 2022-01-03 | Melbourne 2 | R32 | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-1 3-0 |
| 2018-07-23 | Moscow | R32 | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-1 6-1 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Slight edge · Kalinskaya A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Kasatkina D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About