Katherine Sebov vs Elvina KalievaMemphis Round of 32

Memphis · WTA · Round of 32
#213WTA
1407ELO
1401Hard ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 3rd on
#120WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
Sebov K.
1-6 6-7
Kalieva E.
Sebov K.
1630
Kalieva E.
6772

Elvina Kalieva defeated Katherine Sebov in the Round of 32 of the Memphis tournament on hard courts, winning 6-1, 7-6. Kalieva hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, while Sebov had 0 aces and 5 double faults. Kalieva converted 62% of her break points and won 5 service breaks to Sebov's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Elvina Kalieva came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-09W35 Boca Raton 1R32clayKatherine Sebov7-5 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
18
Break points saved·Dominant
53
28
Break points won·Even
83
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
36
Tiebreaks·
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Sebov K.49%
Kalieva E.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1401
Surface ELO
6.7+139 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1407
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1569
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.3Won 55% in Usa (119)
Country comfort
5.3Won 54% in Usa (155)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Sebov K.: 16 days rest · Kalieva E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw