Selena Janicijevic vs Anastasiya SobolevaTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#245WTA
1439ELO
1420Clay ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 3rd on
#195WTA
1533ELO
1532Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Janicijevic S.
4-6 2-6
Soboleva A.
Janicijevic S.
420
Soboleva A.
662

Anastasiya Soboleva defeated Selena Janicijevic in the Round of 32 at the Targu Mures clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-2 in favor of Soboleva. Soboleva converted 6 service breaks to Janicijevic's 3, and had a first-serve win percentage of 70 compared to Janicijevic's 41.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-26W25 HeraklionR16claySelena Janicijevic7-5 2-6 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 50). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
15
43
Break points saved·Dominant
38
13
Break points won·Even
89
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
84
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Janicijevic S.29%
Soboleva A.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Soboleva A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1420
Surface ELO
6.4+112 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1438
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1533
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw