A. Hernandez vs Bernard TomicLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#164ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Hernandez A.
1-6 0-6
Tomic B.
Hernandez A.
100
Tomic B.
662

Bernard Tomic defeated A. Hernandez in the Round of 32 of the Los Cabos tournament on hard courts, winning 6-1, 6-0. Tomic hit 13 aces to Hernandez's 1 and converted 71% of his break points, compared to Hernandez's 0%. Tomic won 89% of his first-serve points and took 5 service breaks to Hernandez's 0.

Around the match

  • Tomic's dominant comeback continues with his first bagel since 2014, dispatching Hernandez 6-1, 6-0 in 46 minutes as a lucky loser.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
66%
1st serve points won·
70%
2nd serve points won·
53%
Service points won·
64%
Return points won·
36%
Break points saved·
61%
Aces / match·
4.1
Double faults / match·
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Hernandez A.20%
Tomic B.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tomic B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.04 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Hernandez A.: 17 days rest · Tomic B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw