Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Andrea Lazaro GarciaW100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 32

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 32
#486WTA
1402ELO
1391Clay ELO
26 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#147WTA
1618ELO
1602Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLW
Kulambayeva Z.
3-6 5-7
Lazaro Garcia A.
Kulambayeva Z.
350
Lazaro Garcia A.
672

Andrea Lazaro Garcia defeated Zhibek Kulambayeva 6-3, 7-5 in the Round of 32 at the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas. Lazaro Garcia hit 0 aces and 6 double faults, while Kulambayeva had 2 aces and 2 double faults. Lazaro Garcia won 54% of her first serves and converted 43% of her break points, ultimately securing 6 service breaks to Kulambayeva's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
50%
48%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Kulambayeva Z.32%
Lazaro Garcia A.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lazaro Garcia A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1391
Surface ELO
7.6+212 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1402
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw