Pavel Kotov vs Daniel Elahi GalanBonn Round of 32

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#249ATP
1597ELO
1529Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
MATCH COURT 3 · 4th on
#272ATP
1531ELO
1492Clay ELO
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
Kotov P.
4-6 4-6
Elahi Galan D.
Kotov P.
440
Elahi Galan D.
662

Daniel Elahi Galan defeated Pavel Kotov 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Bonn clay court tournament. Galan hit 7 aces and 1 double fault, winning 84% of his first serves and converting both of his break points. Kotov recorded 5 aces and 1 double fault, winning 79% of his first serves but failing to convert any break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Elahi Galan edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-20ChengduR32hardPavel Kotov7-5 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
78%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
24
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
83
Break points won·Clear edge
25
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
11
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Kotov P.55%
Elahi Galan D.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5+36 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1492
5.8Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1530
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
2.32 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
82

Kotov P.: 21 days rest · Elahi Galan D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw