Anastasia Kulikova vs Thea FrodinW75 Lexington Round of 32

W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 32
#309WTA
1419ELO
1403Hard ELO
26 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#579WTA
17 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLL
Kulikova A.
4-6 6-2 6-3
Frodin T.
Kulikova A.
4662
Frodin T.
6231

Anastasia Kulikova defeated Thea Frodin in the Round of 32 at the W75 Lexington tournament, coming back from a set down to win 4-6, 6-2, 6-3. Kulikova hit 2 aces and 4 double faults, while Frodin hit 5 aces and 14 double faults. Kulikova converted 45% of break points and won 5 service breaks, compared to Frodin's 38% conversion rate and 3 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
48%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
7.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Kulikova A.79%
Frodin T.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kulikova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.0Won 33% in Usa (27)
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw