Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#22ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 3rd on
#31ATP
1812ELO
1766Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLL
Nakashima B.
6-3 6-4
Etcheverry T.
Nakashima B.
662
Etcheverry T.
340

Brandon Nakashima defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament. Nakashima hit 8 aces and 1 double fault, while Etcheverry hit 4 aces and 3 double faults. Nakashima converted all his break points and won 3 service breaks to Etcheverry's 1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-15BarcelonaR16clayTomas Martin Etcheverry3-6 7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.7
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
0.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
38
52
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Slight edge
3
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
44
84
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Nakashima B.57%
Etcheverry T.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1766
5.3Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1812
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
44
93

Nakashima B.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 106 games (7d) · Etcheverry T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw