Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen ZhengWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#20WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
#127WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLWL
Eala A.
4-6 6-4 6-1
Zheng Q.
Eala A.
4662
Zheng Q.
6411

Alexandra Eala defeated Qinwen Zheng in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, coming back from a set down to win 4-6, 6-4, 6-1. Eala converted 75% of her break points, compared to Zheng's 36%, and secured 6 service breaks to Zheng's 4. Eala had 4 aces and 5 double faults, while Zheng had 14 aces and 6 double faults.

Around the match

  • Eala withdrawn from doubles draw at Washington without official explanation, possibly due to injury.

  • I don't get to go home a lot. I don't go home very often, so every time I go home, it's super meaningful. The fact that I'm able to really interact with the people who I know support me through my journey, it really meant a lot.

  • Right now in my stage of my career, I would say the most important thing is more about myself, how I'm able to control myself on court, and to really achieve the level.

    Zheng Q.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.1
9.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
45
89
Break points saved·Dominant
12
86
Break points won·Clear edge
83
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
98
Tiebreaks·
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Eala A.36%
Zheng Q.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zheng Q. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+1 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1832
5.5Overall Elo 1895
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1852
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
100

Eala A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 10 games (7d) · Zheng Q.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw