Alex Michelsen vs Jack DraperWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#41ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$797kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Sets
Cancelled
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#143ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$351kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLW
Michelsen A.
vs
Draper J.

The Washington round of 32 between Alex Michelsen and Jack Draper was cancelled. Cancellations usually follow weather, a scheduling change, or a withdrawal.

Around the match

  • Draper is making his comeback from a recurring arm injury that forced his Wimbledon withdrawal, now competing at Washington after dropping outside the top 140.

    Draper J.Tennishead
  • Draper's left arm and serve looked sharp; coach Murray is also pleased with his return of serve.

    Draper J.TennisTemple

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
55%
Aces / match·Even
6.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
98
Break points won·Dominant
32
88
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Michelsen A.39%
Draper J.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Draper J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1782
5.0Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.8Won 79% in Usa (53)
Country comfort
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
96

Michelsen A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Draper J.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw