Jia Jing Lu vs Caroline DolehideVancouver Round of 32

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#389WTA
1346ELO
1313Hard ELO
36 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#246WTA
1673ELO
1638Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Jing Lu J.
7-5 6-4
Dolehide C.
Jing Lu J.
762
Dolehide C.
540

Jia Jing Lu defeated Caroline Dolehide in the Round of 32 of the Vancouver hard-court tournament, winning 7-5, 6-4. Lu did not hit an ace but made five double faults, while Dolehide had three aces and one double fault. Lu converted 46% of her break points and broke Dolehide's serve six times, compared to Dolehide's four service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
14
17
Break points saved·Even
40
37
Break points won·Dominant
75
46
Deciding sets·Even
12
16
Tiebreaks·
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Jing Lu J.28%
Dolehide C.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dolehide C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.9Hard Elo 1313
Surface ELO
9.1+324 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1346
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Dolehide C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw