Martin Damm vs Ben SheltonWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#94ATP
1706ELO
1657Hard ELO
$338kYTD
$910kCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 3rd on
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWL
Damm M.
4-6 6-4 4-6
Shelton B.
Damm M.
4641
Shelton B.
6462

Ben Shelton defeated Martin Damm in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, advancing with a 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 victory on hard courts. Shelton hit 7 aces and 4 double faults, winning 77 percent of his first serves and converting 60 percent of his break points. He won 3 service breaks to Damm's 2, securing the win.

Key context

  • Match story: Ben Shelton edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
60%
Service points won·Even
69%
71%
Return points won·Even
32%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
74%
Aces / match·Slight edge
12.6
11.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
100
Break points won·Dominant
1
47
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Damm M.30%
Shelton B.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1657
Surface ELO
8.3+265 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1960
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.18 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.9Won 64% in Usa (45)
Country comfort
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
72

Damm M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw