Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs C. ChurchVancouver Qualifying Final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#315ATP
1503ELO
1480Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
CAN
C. Church
#1602ATP
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
W
Dylan Hara Friend J.
6-2 7-6
Church C.
Dylan Hara Friend J.
6772
Church C.
2630

Jay Dylan Hara Friend won the Vancouver final, defeating C. Church 6-2, 7-6. Friend hit 8 aces to Church's 3 and converted 50% of his break points, while Church converted none. Friend secured 2 service breaks en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
66%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
49%
Service points won·
62%
Return points won·
39%
Break points saved·
59%
Aces / match·
4.6
Double faults / match·
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Dylan Hara Friend J.85%
Church C.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Dylan Hara Friend J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Church C.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Dylan Hara Friend J.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw