Luca Castagnola vs Luca ParentiM25 Bolzano Round of 32

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
#799ATP
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#1724ATP
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLW
Castagnola L.
7-6 6-1
Parenti L.
Castagnola L.
7862
Parenti L.
6610

Luca Castagnola defeated Luca Parenti in the Round of 32 at the M25 Bolzano tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-1. Castagnola served with 79% efficiency and converted 29% of break points, securing two service breaks to Parenti's zero. Castagnola hit three aces and two double faults, compared to Parenti's five aces and two double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Luca Castagnola came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
47%
62%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Castagnola L.73%
Parenti L.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Castagnola L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.92 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Castagnola L.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
16°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw