Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Ekaterina KhayrutdinovaW35 Florence Round of 32

W35 Florence · ITF · Round of 32
#950WTA
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#445WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Carnicella K.
2-6 3-6
Khayrutdinova E.
Carnicella K.
230
Khayrutdinova E.
662

Ekaterina Khayrutdinova defeated Kaitlyn Carnicella 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the W35 Florence tournament. Khayrutdinova converted 62% of her break points and secured five service breaks, while Carnicella converted 33% of her break points and secured one service break. Khayrutdinova also committed three double faults, compared to five by Carnicella.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
45%
Service points won·Even
50%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.2
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.2
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Carnicella K.14%
Khayrutdinova E.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Khayrutdinova E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.13 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.7Won 62% in Usa (26)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Draw