Lorenzo Carboni vs Gabriele CrivellaroM25 Bolzano Round of 32

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
#490ATP
1161ELO
1166Clay ELO
20 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#1228ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWLW
Carboni L.
4-6 4-6
Crivellaro G.
Carboni L.
440
Crivellaro G.
662

Gabriele Crivellaro defeated Lorenzo Carboni in the Round of 32 at the M25 Bolzano tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-4. Crivellaro converted 75% of his break points and secured three service breaks, compared to Carboni's one. Crivellaro also had an 88% first-serve win percentage, while Carboni had 69%.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-26M15 Segrate 1QFclayLorenzo Carboni6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
38%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
43%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Carboni L.80%
Crivellaro G.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Carboni L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
91

Carboni L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Crivellaro G.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
16°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw