Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca BurcescuTargu Mures Round of 32

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#218WTA
1508ELO
1472Clay ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#878WTA
16 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWLW
Ibragimova A.
6-4 3-6 7-5
Ilinca Burcescu M.
Ibragimova A.
6372
Ilinca Burcescu M.
4651

Alevtina Ibragimova defeated Maia Ilinca Burcescu 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 in the Round of 32 at the Targu Mures clay court tournament. Both players converted 8 service breaks, but Ibragimova was more efficient on break points, converting at an 80% rate compared to Burcescu's 53%. Ibragimova and Burcescu did not record any aces, but Ibragimova committed 2 more double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
33%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Return points won·Even
48%
51%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
40%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
9.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Ibragimova A.64%
Ilinca Burcescu M.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ibragimova A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ibragimova A.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw