Cristina Bucsa vs Polina KudermetovaWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#38WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 1st on
#97WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLL
Bucsa C.
7-5 6-7 0-6
Kudermetova P.
Bucsa C.
76401
Kudermetova P.
57762

Polina Kudermetova defeated Cristina Bucsa in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament on hard courts. Kudermetova won 5-7, 7-6, 6-0. She hit 3 aces and 10 double faults, winning 64 percent of first-serve points and converting 32 percent of break points, while securing 6 service breaks to Bucsa's 4.

Around the match

  • Bucsa returning to competition after wrist injury layoff and six-match losing streak, attempting comeback at Washington.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Clear edge
43%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
22
51
Break points saved·Dominant
16
77
Break points won·Clear edge
83
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
34
29
Tiebreaks·
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Bucsa C.40%
Kudermetova P.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kudermetova P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1646
4.9Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1727
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
86

Bucsa C.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Kudermetova P.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw