Arthur Nagel vs Liam Branger — M15 Strasbourg Round of 32

M15 Strasbourg · ITF · Round of 32
FRA1
Arthur Nagel
#404ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
FRA
Liam Branger
#1229ATP
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Nagel A.
7-5 3-6 6-2
Branger L.
Nagel A.
7362
Branger L.
5621

Arthur Nagel defeated Liam Branger 7-5, 3-6, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the M15 Strasbourg clay court tournament. Nagel hit 3 aces and 5 double faults, winning 69% of his first serves and converting 45% of break points. He won 5 service breaks to Branger's 3, securing the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Arthur Nagel closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Nagel A.Branger L.
1st serve in·
62%
—
1st serve points won·
67%
—
2nd serve points won·
39%
—
Service points won·
56%
—
Return points won·
36%
—
Break points saved·
53%
—
Aces / match·
4.6
—
Double faults / match·
3.0
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Nagel A.76%
Branger L.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Nagel A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nagel A.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Branger L.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw