Gabriel Diallo vs Tristan BoyerLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#105ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$530kYTD
$3.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#170ATP
1561ELO
1525Hard ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLW
Diallo G.
5-7 2-6
Boyer T.
Diallo G.
520
Boyer T.
762

Tristan Boyer defeated Gabriel Diallo in the Round of 32 at the Los Cabos tournament, winning 7-5, 6-2 on hard courts. Boyer converted 57% of his break points and secured four service breaks, while Diallo converted all his break points but only managed one service break. Boyer had 3 aces and 3 double faults, compared to Diallo's 11 aces and 4 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Tristan Boyer closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.4
5.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
44
43
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
83
Break points won·Even
22
20
Deciding sets·Even
77
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
21
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Diallo G.57%
Boyer T.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+153 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1525
6.9Overall Elo 1716
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1561
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
99
82

Diallo G.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Boyer T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw