Coleman Wong vs Darwin BlanchLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#93ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
#224ATP
1551ELO
1483Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Wong C.
6-3 6-4
Blanch D.
Wong C.
662
Blanch D.
340

Coleman Wong defeated Darwin Blanch 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Los Cabos tournament. Wong hit 7 aces and committed 2 double faults, converting 50% of his break points and winning 89% of his first-serve points. Blanch did not convert any of his break points and was broken twice.

Key context

  • Match story: Coleman Wong closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-28Los CabosQFhardColeman Wong6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
5.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Wong C.54%
Blanch D.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1483
5.6Overall Elo 1602
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1551
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
85

Wong C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d) · Blanch D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 95%

Draw