Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz BasilashviliSan Marino Round of 32

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#716ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#132ATP
1672ELO
1635Clay ELO
$329kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLLW
Vrbensky M.
3-6 6-3 2-6
Basilashvili N.
Vrbensky M.
3621
Basilashvili N.
6362

Nikoloz Basilashvili defeated Michael Vrbensky in the Round of 32 at the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 3-6, 6-2. Basilashvili converted 50% of his break points and secured three service breaks, compared to Vrbensky's one. Basilashvili served 15 aces and committed nine double faults, while Vrbensky served 14 aces and committed three double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
53%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
61%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
54
Break points saved·Dominant
52
79
Break points won·Clear edge
11
24
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
31
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Vrbensky M.38%
Basilashvili N.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Basilashvili N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.83 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
98

Vrbensky M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Basilashvili N.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw