Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele PieriBonn Round of 32

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#230ATP
1476ELO
1438Clay ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
MATCH COURT 3 · 3rd on
#386ATP
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLLL
Arnaud Bailly G.
2-6 3-6
Pieri S.
Arnaud Bailly G.
230
Pieri S.
662

Samuele Pieri defeated Gilles Arnaud Bailly 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Bonn clay court tournament. Pieri hit two aces and committed two double faults, while his first-serve win percentage was 88 compared to Bailly's 69. Pieri converted three of 11 break points and won three service breaks to advance.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Arnaud Bailly G.59%
Pieri S.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Arnaud Bailly G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.73 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
88

Arnaud Bailly G.: 21 days rest · Pieri S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw