N. Ciavarella vs Adrian AndreevM25 Bolzano Round of 32

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Round of 32
#1000ATP
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
#841ATP
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Ciavarella N.
3-6 3-6
Andreev A.
Ciavarella N.
330
Andreev A.
662

Adrian Andreev defeated N. Ciavarella 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Bolzano clay court tournament. Andreev hit 2 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Ciavarella had 1 ace and 7 double faults. Andreev converted 36% of break points and won 5 service breaks to Ciavarella's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
54%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Ciavarella N.24%
Andreev A.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Andreev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Andreev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw