Guy Den Ouden vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaBonn Round of 32

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#215ATP
1495ELO
1484Clay ELO
$84kYTD
$332kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
clay
MATCH COURT 3 · 2nd on
#281ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWL
Den Ouden G.
3-6 3-6
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Den Ouden G.
330
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
662

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Guy Den Ouden 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Bonn clay court tournament. Pucinelli De Almeida hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, winning 72% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points. He secured 3 service breaks en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
5
Break points saved·Dominant
72
36
Break points won·Slight edge
36
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
19
11
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Den Ouden G.45%
Pucinelli De Almeida M.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+80 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1404
6.0Overall Elo 1495
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1412
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
8.48 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
59

Den Ouden G.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw