Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina LiutovaMemphis Round of 32

Memphis · WTA · Round of 32
#18WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$11MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
1 — 1
Sets
Retired
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
#129WTA
1681ELO
1592Hard ELO
16 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Alexandrova E.
6-7 6-4 4-5
Liutova K.
Alexandrova E.
62641
Liutova K.
77451

Kristina Liutova advanced to the next round in Memphis with a retirement win over Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Round of 32. At the time of Alexandrova's retirement, Liutova led 7-6, 4-6, 5-4. Alexandrova had retired due to an unspecified reason.

Around the match

  • Top seed collapsed on court during three-hour match in extreme heat and was forced to retire.

    Alexandrova E.Sky Sports
  • 16-year-old won her WTA Tour debut match against the tournament's top seed after Alexandrova's retirement.

    Liutova K.Sky Sports
  • 16-year-old qualifier produced a memorable WTA debut, defeating Top 100 player Alexandrova after opponent retired due to heat illness in a three-hour epic.

    Liutova K.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
52%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Alexandrova E.56%
Liutova K.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+207 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1592
7.0Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1681
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.39 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
10.012-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.1Won 69% in Usa (42)
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
2.0Opponent hot: 10 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
61
100

Alexandrova E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Liutova K.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw