Dasha Ivanova vs Ayana Akli — W75 Lexington Round of 32
W75 Lexington · ITF · Round of 32
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
Ivanova D.3-6 2-6
Akli A.
Ivanova D.
320
Akli A.
662
Ayana Akli defeated Dasha Ivanova 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the W75 Lexington tournament. Akli converted all four of her break points and won 71% of her first-serve points to secure the win. Akli and Ivanova were each responsible for one ace and Akli committed three double faults.
Key context
- Match story: Ayana Akli dropped just 5 games past Dasha Ivanova.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
52%
52%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
51%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCIvanova D.31%
Akli A.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Akli A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.25 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
5.2Won 54% in Usa (52)
Country comfort5.9Won 66% in Usa (76)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
28°CThunderstorm
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 81%