Dan Added vs Lucas PoullainSamsun Round of 32

Samsun · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#223ATP
1418ELO
1402Hard ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 4th on
#369ATP
1295ELO
1286Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Added D.
7-5 2-6 6-2
Poullain L.
Added D.
7262
Poullain L.
5621

Dan Added defeated Lucas Poullain in the Round of 32 of the Samsun hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 in favor of Added. Added served 7 aces and committed 4 double faults, while converting 44% of break points and winning 73% of first-serve points.

Key context

  • Match story: Dan Added closed it out in three sets, 7–5 2–6 6–2.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-06M15 Lons-le-Saunier 1FhardDan Added5-7 7-6(6) 6-3
2023-07-08M25+H Ajaccio 1QFhardLucas Poullain7-6(4) 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
0.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
21
11
Break points saved·Dominant
81
31
Break points won·Clear edge
9
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
31
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
14
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Added D.48%
Poullain L.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1286
6.5Overall Elo 1418
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1295
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
57

Added D.: 17 days rest · Poullain L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw