Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary SvajdaWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#99ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 4th on
#84ATP
1718ELO
1690Hard ELO
$631kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Vukic A.
6-3 6-1
Svajda Z.
Vukic A.
662
Svajda Z.
310

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Zachary Svajda in the Round of 32 of the Washington tournament, winning 6-3, 6-1 on hard courts. Vukic hit 12 aces to Svajda's 3 and did not commit a double fault, while converting 57% of break points to Svajda's 0%. Vukic won 4 service breaks to Svajda's 0.

Around the match

  • Svajda retired early in the third set of his qualifying match due to injury but still made it into the main draw as a lucky loser.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-06DallasQ1hardZachary Svajda7-5 6-3
2022-08-23US OpenQ128hardZachary Svajda7-5 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
27
22
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
81
Break points won·Dominant
7
58
Deciding sets·Slight edge
15
6
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Vukic A.27%
Svajda Z.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svajda Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
6.2+93 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1718
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.8Won 64% in Usa (66)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
93

Vukic A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Svajda Z.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw