Alexandre Muller vs Stefano NapolitanoSan Marino Round of 32

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#136ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#229ATP
1528ELO
1520Clay ELO
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLL
Muller A.
6-2 6-4
Napolitano S.
Muller A.
662
Napolitano S.
240

Alexandre Muller defeated Stefano Napolitano in the Round of 32 of the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 6-4. Muller served 6 aces to Napolitano's 2 and converted 43% of his break points, compared to Napolitano's 0%. Muller won 81% of his first-serve points and took 3 service breaks to Napolitano's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
72
8
Break points saved·Dominant
90
45
Break points won·Slight edge
46
36
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Muller A.61%
Napolitano S.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Muller A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+109 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1520
6.7Overall Elo 1664
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1528
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
0.61 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
75

Muller A.: 15 days rest · Napolitano S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw