Thiago Monteiro vs Manuel MazzaSan Marino Qualifying Final

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#274ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#774ATP
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLWWL
Monteiro T.
6-1 6-4
Mazza M.
Monteiro T.
662
Mazza M.
140

Thiago Monteiro won the San Marino final, defeating Manuel Mazza 6-1, 6-4. Monteiro and Mazza were even in aces with four each, while Monteiro had zero double faults to Mazza's one. Monteiro converted 67% of his break points and broke Mazza's serve four times, compared to Mazza's one service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Monteiro T.69%
Mazza M.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Monteiro T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Monteiro T.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw