Kristina Liutova vs Maria KozyrevaMemphis Qualifying Final

Memphis · WTA · Qualifying Final
#129WTA
1681ELO
1592Hard ELO
16 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#580WTA
1285ELO
1298Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLL
Liutova K.
6-3 2-6 7-6
Kozyreva M.
Liutova K.
62772
Kozyreva M.
36641

Kristina Liutova defeated Maria Kozyreva in the Memphis final, 6-3, 2-6, 7-6. Liutova hit one ace and five double faults, while Kozyreva had three aces and eight double faults. Liutova won 56 percent of her first serves and converted 46 percent of break points, compared to Kozyreva's 65 percent and 58 percent, respectively; Liutova earned 6 service breaks to Kozyreva's 7.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
50%
36%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
49%
Return points won·Slight edge
53%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
51%
Aces / match·Even
0.6
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Liutova K.79%
Kozyreva M.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Liutova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+295 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1298
9.9Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
0.1Overall Elo 1285
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.29 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.1Won 68% in Usa (41)
Country comfort
5.3Won 55% in Usa (110)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Liutova K.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw