Mili Poljicak vs Jozef Kovalik — San Marino Qualifying Final
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Poljicak M.
Mili Poljicak won the San Marino clay court tournament final, defeating Jozef Kovalik 7-6, 6-3. Poljicak hit 10 aces to Kovalik's 4 and converted 14% of break points, while Kovalik did not convert any. Poljicak won 89% of first-serve points to Kovalik's 72%, and each player had one service break, with Poljicak's coming in the second set.
Key context
- Match story: Mili Poljicak closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Poljicak M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.