Emma Navarro vs Sofia KeninWashington Round of 32

Washington · WTA · Round of 32
#28WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$922kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
#115WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWL
Navarro E.
6-0 7-5
Kenin S.
Navarro E.
672
Kenin S.
050

Emma Navarro defeated Sofia Kenin in the Round of 32 of the Washington tournament, winning 6-0, 7-5 on hard courts. Navarro hit 18 aces to Kenin's 3 and converted 60% of her break points, compared to Kenin's 17%. Navarro won 6 service breaks to Kenin's 2.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-11San DiegoSFhardSofia Kenin6-2 5-7 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
39%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
45
65
Break points won·Slight edge
97
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
47
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
70
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Navarro E.75%
Kenin S.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Navarro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1659
7.1Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1694
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.71 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2Won 70% in Usa (83)
Country comfort
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
68

Navarro E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Kenin S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw