Ekaterina Kazionova vs Margaux RouvroyTargu Mures Qualifying Final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#463WTA
1375ELO
1358Clay ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 1st on
#338WTA
1416ELO
1372Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLL
Kazionova E.
4-6 6-3 5-7
Rouvroy M.
Kazionova E.
4651
Rouvroy M.
6372

Margaux Rouvroy won the final of the Targu Mures tournament, defeating Ekaterina Kazionova 6-4, 3-6, 7-5. The two players converted an equal number of service breaks, eight each, but Rouvroy edged Kazionova in first-serve win percentage, 61 to 58. Rouvroy served three aces to Kazionova's one and made one more double fault.

Key context

  • Match story: Margaux Rouvroy closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
51%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.5
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Kazionova E.30%
Rouvroy M.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Rouvroy M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1358
Surface ELO
5.2+14 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1374
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1416
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
3.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Rouvroy M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw