Michael Vrbensky vs Maxime JanvierSan Marino Qualifying Final

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#716ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 DE LUIGI · 1st on
#566ATP
1297ELO
1261Clay ELO
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLWLLL
Vrbensky M.
6-3 5-7 6-3
Janvier M.
Vrbensky M.
6562
Janvier M.
3731

Michael Vrbensky won the San Marino final on clay, defeating Maxime Janvier 6-3, 5-7, 6-3. Vrbensky and Janvier hit the same number of aces, but Vrbensky committed significantly fewer double faults. Vrbensky converted 3 service breaks to Janvier's 1 en route to victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
11
5
Break points saved·Clear edge
52
71
Break points won·Slight edge
11
1
Deciding sets·Clear edge
24
7
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
31
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Vrbensky M.49%
Janvier M.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
1.42 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Vrbensky M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw