Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon GriekspoorWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#29ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 1st on
#56ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLW
Tabilo A.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Griekspoor T.
Tabilo A.
77462
Griekspoor T.
63641

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Tallon Griekspoor in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, winning 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Both players recorded one service break and converted at a 14% and 20% rate, respectively. Tabilo hit 14 aces to Griekspoor's 17 and both players made three double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
31%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.9
8.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
37
62
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Clear edge
22
9
Deciding sets·Clear edge
65
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Tabilo A.56%
Griekspoor T.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1750
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1789
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
95

Tabilo A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Griekspoor T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw