Jan Choinski vs Francesco PassaroBonn Round of 32

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#77ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$265kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#222ATP
1592ELO
1578Clay ELO
$91kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Choinski J.
6-3 6-4
Passaro F.
Choinski J.
662
Passaro F.
340

Jan Choinski defeated Francesco Passaro in the Round of 32 at the Bonn tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 6-4. Choinski hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, winning 83% of his first serves and converting 22% of break points. He converted two service breaks to Passaro's zero.

Key context

  • Match story: Jan Choinski closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
4.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
55
57
Break points saved·Even
90
89
Break points won·Slight edge
20
11
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Choinski J.44%
Passaro F.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+74 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1578
6.2Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1592
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
88

Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Passaro F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw