Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic — Los Cabos Qualifying Final

Los Cabos · ATP · Qualifying Final
Tristan Boyer
USA3
Tristan Boyer
#170ATP
1561ELO
1525Hard ELO
$105kYTD
$960kCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
—
Sets
Walkover
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
Bernard Tomic
AUS5
Bernard Tomic
#164ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
Boyer T.
vs
Tomic B.

Tristan Boyer won the final of the Los Cabos hard-court tournament via walkover after Bernard Tomic withdrew before the match. As a result, no play was contested and no statistics were recorded. Boyer was declared the winner.

Around the match

  • Tomic enters as lucky loser after withdrawing from qualifying; fitness unclear despite recent Challenger title, but talent remains to beat Hernandez.

    Tomic B.Last Word On Sports ↗

  • Tomic entered the Los Cabos main draw as a lucky loser after withdrawing before his final qualifying match against Boyer, reigniting debate over the lucky loser rule's fairness.

    Tomic B.TennisTemple ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Boyer T.Tomic B.
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Boyer T.Tomic B.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
43
53
Break points saved·Slight edge
83
88
Break points won·Clear edge
20
8
Deciding sets·Even
81
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Boyer T.59%
Tomic B.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Boyer T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Boyer T.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Tomic B.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+84 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1441
6.1Overall Elo 1561
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1474
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Boyer T.Tomic B.
Freshness·Slight edge
87
92

Boyer T.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Tomic B.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw