Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Quinn Vandecasteele — Vancouver Qualifying Semi-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
FRA
Cesar Bouchelaghem
#510ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
USA9
Quinn Vandecasteele
#483ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLW
Bouchelaghem C.
1-6 4-6
Vandecasteele Q.
Bouchelaghem C.
140
Vandecasteele Q.
662

Quinn Vandecasteele defeated Cesar Bouchelaghem in the Vancouver semifinals, winning 6-1, 6-4. Vandecasteele hit 7 aces and 3 double faults, winning 80% of first-serve points and converting 75% of break points. He converted three service breaks to zero for Bouchelaghem.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bouchelaghem C.Vandecasteele Q.
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Bouchelaghem C.48%
Vandecasteele Q.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bouchelaghem C.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Vandecasteele Q.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.13 of last 7 on hard
Surface form
2.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bouchelaghem C.Vandecasteele Q.
Freshness·
—
81

Vandecasteele Q.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw