Mirza Basic vs Shunsuke Nakagawa — Samsun Qualifying Final
Basic M.
Shunsuke Nakagawa won the final of the Samsun hard-court tournament, defeating Mirza Basic 3-6, 6-4, 6-4. Nakagawa hit 8 aces and 5 double faults, while Basic hit 4 aces and 8 double faults. Nakagawa converted 36% of break points and broke Basic's serve 4 times, compared to Basic's 3 service breaks and 38% break point conversion rate.
Key context
- Match story: Shunsuke Nakagawa dropped the opening set before beating Mirza Basic 3–6 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Basic M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadBasic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Nakagawa S.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About