Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Maria Sara Popa — Targu Mures Qualifying Final
Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 1st on
Ciric Bagaric L.6-4 6-2
Sara Popa M.
Ciric Bagaric L.
662
Sara Popa M.
420
Lucija Ciric Bagaric won the final of the Targu Mures clay court tournament, defeating Maria Sara Popa 6-4, 6-2. Ciric Bagaric hit one fewer double fault and had a higher first-serve win percentage than Popa. Ciric Bagaric converted 80% of her break points and won four service breaks to Popa's one.
Key context
- Match story: Lucija Ciric Bagaric dropped just 6 games past Maria Sara Popa.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
5.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCCiric Bagaric L.40%
Sara Popa M.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Sara Popa M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1253
Surface ELO6.8+142 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1257
ELO gap6.9Overall Elo 1412
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form6.06 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 81%