Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AngeloSan Marino Round of 32

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#206ATP
1522ELO
1469Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#154ATP
1576ELO
1554Clay ELO
$166kYTD
$323kCAREER
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWWWLL
Rincon D.
4-6 7-6 3-6
Prado Angelo J.
Rincon D.
47731
Prado Angelo J.
66562

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo defeated Daniel Rincon in the Round of 32 at the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-7, 6-3. Prado Angelo hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, while Rincon had 6 aces and 3 double faults. Prado Angelo converted 50% of break points and won 3 service breaks to Rincon's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
41
45
Break points saved·Slight edge
50
40
Break points won·Even
34
30
Deciding sets·Even
93
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Rincon D.41%
Prado Angelo J.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Prado Angelo J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
6.1+84 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1522
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1576
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Rincon D.: 15 days rest · Prado Angelo J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw