Marko Topo vs Valerio Aboian — Bonn Qualifying Final
Bonn · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
clay
MATCH COURT 2 · 2nd on
ARG9#434ATP
1348ELO
1339Clay ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLWLW
Topo M.6-3 7-6
Aboian V.
Topo M.
6772
Aboian V.
3640
Marko Topo won the final of the Bonn tournament, defeating Valerio Aboian 6-3, 7-6 on clay. Topo hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 79% of his first serves and converting 40% of break points. He converted 2 service breaks to Aboian's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Marko Topo closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
4.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCTopo M.55%
Aboian V.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.7+60 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO4.3Clay Elo 1339
6.4Overall Elo 1463
ELO gap3.6Overall Elo 1348
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.66 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 67%