Isabella Shinikova vs Miriana TonaTargu Mures Qualifying Semi-final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#345WTA
1346ELO
1250Clay ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#355WTA
1275ELO
1251Clay ELO
31 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWLW
Shinikova I.
2-6 3-6
Tona M.
Shinikova I.
230
Tona M.
662

Miriana Tona defeated Isabella Shinikova 6-2, 6-3 in the semifinals of the Targu Mures clay court tournament. Tona did not hit an ace but made one double fault, while Shinikova had no aces and two double faults. Tona won 72 percent of her first serves and converted 71 percent of her break points, compared to Shinikova's 52 percent and 25 percent, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Shinikova I.62%
Tona M.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shinikova I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1250
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Clay Elo edge
5.9Overall Elo 1346
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1275
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw