Marko Topo vs Leonardo RossiBonn Qualifying Semi-final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#338ATP
1463ELO
1399Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#614ATP
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW
Topo M.
6-4 6-1
Rossi L.
Topo M.
662
Rossi L.
410

Marko Topo advanced to the final of the Bonn tournament, defeating Leonardo Rossi in the semifinals. Topo won in straight sets, 6-4, 6-1. He converted 80% of his break points and secured four service breaks en route to victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Topo M.76%
Rossi L.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Topo M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.02 of last 5 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
75

Topo M.: 15 days rest · Rossi L.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw