Bogdan Pavel vs Pedro Rodenas — M25 Denia Final
M25 Denia · ITF · Final
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
Pavel B.6-2 7-6
Rodenas P.
Pavel B.
6772
Rodenas P.
2650
Bogdan Pavel won the M25 Denia final, defeating Pedro Rodenas 6-2, 7-6 on clay. Pavel hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 66% of his first serves and converting 45% of break points. He secured 5 service breaks to Rodenas' 3.
Key context
- Match story: Bogdan Pavel closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
—
71%
1st serve points won·
—
63%
2nd serve points won·
—
50%
Service points won·
—
59%
Return points won·
—
46%
Break points saved·
—
62%
Aces / match·
—
2.3
Double faults / match·
—
4.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCPavel B.46%
Rodenas P.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form0.0
Win streakFatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 47%